Predicting the 2013 calendar pick order

The 2013 Formula One calendar has been revised today (December 5th). New Jersey, which was meant to be replacing Valencia has been dropped with ‘a European round’ on July 21st. The calendar is therefore as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne)
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang)
April 14st – China (Shanghai)
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo)
June 9th – Canada (Montreal)
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone)
July 7th – Germany (Nurburgring)
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring)
August 25th – Belgium (Spa)
September 8th – Italy (Monza)
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay)
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam)
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit)
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina)
November 17th – United States (Austin)
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos)

The European round on July 21st is subject to confirmation but the rest is confirmed. Because of the way the BBC and Sky deal works, both sides have to ‘pick’ races. The races that BBC pick will be shown live on BBC One and Sky Sports F1, while the races that Sky pick will be shown exclusively live on Sky Sports F1, with highlights on BBC One. The picks go as follows:

– BBC pick three races (pick 1, 2 and 3)
– Sky pick three races (pick 4, 5 and 6)
– BBC pick one race (pick 7)
– Sky pick one race (pick 8)

This continues until every race has been picked. Next season is provisionally scheduled with twenty races, but if it was a odd race season, then Sky get the deciding pick, so that they have either half of the total number of races, or “half + 1 race”. Basically here, I’m predicting how the pick orders will go. You’re probably thinking “surely it will be the same as last year, just replacing Valencia with ‘a European round’? I don’t think so. Firstly, because there are no major sporting events in the Summer that clash with Formula 1, which may influence the pick orders. And secondly, if we remained with the same picks as last year, then BBC would not be screening any races for nearly two months, which may be a situation they wish to avoid. This year it was not so bad because they had the Olympics, but there is no Olympics next year for them.

So in effect, I’m going to rip up last year’s pick order and start from scratch.

BBC pick Britain, Monaco and Brazil – Which are presumably the same three first picks as this year. Monaco and Brazil are both the blue ribbon events, the latter again the season finale and potential title decider. Britain is obviously the first pick. Interestingly, it falls on the ‘middle Sunday’ of Wimbledon, which may be the reason why it is in June and not July, to avoid a clash with the Wimbledon final. So the British Grand Prix should be on BBC One next year and not BBC Two as it was this year.

Sky pick Canada, United States and ??? – This is where things get interesting. Sky pick Canada and United States as with this year. But their third pick? For me, it is a toss up between Melbourne and New Jersey in June. From Sky’s perspective, Melbourne is the unfriendliest slot of the entire twenty races, but it is also the season opener. Is it as important for them next year as it is this year? This year they were starting their coverage for the first time, so arguably getting Australia was more important than ever before. Is next year as important? I don’t think so. Plus, with no football competition in June, Canada and New Jersey surely will bring Sky Sports F1 the channel’s highest ever peaks. Whilst Canada’s overall viewing figures were very poor, Sky Sports F1’s highest peak so far also came from that race.

Therefore Sky pick America. As Sky did not pick Australia, that inevitably means BBC pick Australia, potentially even luring viewers into a false sense of security that every race of the season is back on BBC as the season opener is. In any case, as with this year, Sky pick Malaysia.

Okay, the above does not look pretty, but I wanted to keep it there for future reference, so have struck it off. As I noted above. Sky pick Canada, United States and ??? – Had New Jersey been on the calendar, they would have had a choice between that and Australia. But as New Jersey is not on the calendar, Sky will go for the season opener, meaning that it would be exclusively on Sky again. Therefore Sky pick Australia, BBC pick Malaysia and Sky pick China.

Attention at this point I think would move back to the European season with the pick order as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring)
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring)
August 25th – Belgium (Spa)
September 8th – Italy (Monza)
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay)
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam)
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit)
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina)
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

Logically, BBC pick Belgium and Sky pick Italy so that BBC get another blue ribbond event. Unlike in previous year’s, where Germany and Hungary were late in the pick line with BBC not having either event live due to the Olympics, I anticipate that both events will be wanted this time around. With that in mind, I can see BBC picking Hungary and Sky picking Germany. It also means that BBC viewers do not go nearly two months without seeing a live Formula 1 race on the BBC, which would have broken the season up massively. From this point, I think picks would essentially ‘transcend’ up the calendar alternatively. So we have BBC pick Abu Dhabi, Sky pick India, BBC pick Japan, Sky pick Korea, BBC pick Singapore.

Which means, we are left with this:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring) – Sky
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring) – BBC
August 25th – Belgium (Spa) – BBC
September 8th – Italy (Monza) – Sky
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay) – BBC
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam) – Sky
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka) – BBC
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit) – Sky
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – BBC
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

The remaining races are therefore Bahrain, Spain and ‘a European round’. Spain falls on the penultimate weekend of the Premier League season, therefore I don’t believe Sky would want this race exclusively. Therefore Sky pick Bahrain. From a timezone standpoint and commercial stand-point, Spain however is better for Sky than China, meaning BBC pick China and Sky pick Spain. The timezone and commercial reason does not exist anymore, instead it is a matter of which race exists and which one may not exist. Therefore BBC pick Spain and Sky pick ‘a European round’.

Which leaves the final calendar as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir) – Sky
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona) – BBC
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring) – Sky
July 21st – ‘a European round’ – Sky
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring) – BBC
August 25th – Belgium (Spa) – BBC
September 8th – Italy (Monza) – Sky
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay) – BBC
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam) – Sky
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka) – BBC
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit) – Sky
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – BBC
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

If ‘a European round’ disappears, then BBC lose Hungary live. Unfortunately, that would mean a two month gap between two live races, but there is little workaround, it is either lose Hungary and Belgium, and Hungary would be the race you prefer to lose. That is how I anticipate the picks will shape up.

Updated on December 5th, 2012.

Sky Sports F1 – Top 10 ratings (week ending 9th September, 2012)

Updated on November 5th, 2012: From BARB:

1 – 723k – Live Italian Grand Prix (Sunday, 11:30)
2 – 404k – Live Italian Grand Prix: Qualifying (Saturday, 12:00)
3 – 110k – Live Italian Grand Prix: Practice 3 (Saturday, 09:45)
4 – 52k – Fast Track (Saturday, 11:29)
5 – 50k – Live Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 (Friday, 12:45)
6 – 47k – The F1 Show (Friday, 17:00)
7 – 47k – Porsche Supercup: Europe (Saturday, 11:15)
8 – 43k – Live Italian GP2 Feature Race (Saturday, 14:35)
9 – 35k – Live Italian Grand Prix: Practice 1 (Friday, 08:45)
10 – 32k – Legends (Sunday, 16:05) (Sunday, 16:05)

The channel reached 2.522 million people, which is slightly higher than the Hungarian Grand Prix back in July, which reached 2.439 million people. Excluding Germany, which was open to all Sky and Virgin Media viewers, the channel had it’s highest reach for a European round since the Bahrain Grand Prix in April which reached 3.419 million people.

Outside of the Sky Sports F1 channel, the Italian Grand Prix highlights made BBC One’s top 30, the programme recording an official average figure of 3.67 million viewers, the 24th highest programme on BBC One that week. This compares with an overnight figure of 3.57 million viewers, so the programme timeshifted only 100,000 viewers which is unsurprising as sporting events rarely do timeshift in large proportions.

Back over to Sky, and the speedway made two of their top 10’s, with the Elite League Speedway being watched by 74,000 at 19:30 on Sky Sports 3 on Wednesday 4th September, while the Grand Prix Speedway was seen by 50,000 the following Saturday over on Sky Sports 4.

Updated on November 5th, 2012: Now that we have the top ten, the Friday practice figures are low, particularly first practice which is half the usual figure. For whatever reason, the Belgian and Italy double bounce did not do well for the Sky F1 channel, the Paralympics being one possible reason. It is also disappointing to see no GP3 figures here given the very exciting race two on Sunday morning.

Scheduling: The Singapore Grand Prix

The European leg of the 2012 Formula One season is over, now it is time for the flyaways, starting with the Singapore Grand Prix night race and the good news is that both BBC and Sky are live. As expected, the time difference means that the schedule is slightly different, with Practice happening later on Friday, and Qualifying an hour later on Saturday (although coincidentally, it is an hour earlier than in previous years). Both broadcasters’ have an identical build-up length for Qualifying, so if you wish, you can make direct comparisons as Sky will not be running adverts.

The GP2 season also comes to a fascinating climax in Singapore with Davide Valsecchi and Luiz Razia fighting for the championship title. As always, every GP2 session during the weekend is live on Sky Sports F1 with commentary from Will Buxton and Jerome d’Ambrosio, who returns to the commentary box after his Lotus F1 drive in Monza. While on the subject of GP2, I should note that it is unclear whether Sky Sports will continue airing GP2 and GP3 next season. The press release at the start of the year did not specify a length for the contract (after all, Sky did not have to take up the option to air the support races live) and the races have not set the ratings alight. I suspect GP2 and GP3 will continue next year live on Sky Sports if the Sky Sports F1 channel remains in its current vein.

Thursday 20th September
11:00 to 11:45 – F1: Driver Press Conference (Sky Sports F1)

Friday 21st September
08:40 to 09:20 – GP2: Practice (Sky Sports F1)
10:45 to 12:55 – F1: Practice 1 (Sky Sports F1)
10:55 to 12:35 – F1: Practice 1 (BBC Red Button)
12:55 to 13:45 – GP2: Qualifying (Sky Sports F1)
14:15 to 16:15 – F1: Practice 2 (Sky Sports F1)
14:25 to 16:05 – F1: Practice 2 (BBC Red Button)
16:15 to 17:00 – F1: Team Press Conference (Sky Sports F1)
18:30 to 19:30 – The F1 Show (Sky Sports F1)
18:45 to 19:00 – Inside F1 (BBC News Channel)

Saturday 22nd September
08:55 to 10:25 – GP2: Race 1 (Sky Sports F1)
10:45 to 12:10 – F1: Practice 3 (Sky Sports F1)
10:55 to 12:05 – F1: Practice 3 (BBC Red Button)
13:00 to 15:30 – F1: Qualifying (BBC One)
13:00 to 15:45 – F1: Qualifying (Sky Sports F1)
18:45 to 19:00 – Inside F1 (BBC News Channel)

Sunday 23rd September
09:05 to 10:10 – GP2: Race 2 (Sky Sports F1)
11:30 to 16:15 – F1: Race (Sky Sports F1)
12:10 to 15:20 – F1: Race (BBC One)
15:20 to 16:20 – F1: Forum (BBC Red Button)

Update on September 14th, 20:35, as noted on The F1 Show, Georgie Thompson is staying in London for the Singapore Grand Prix weekend, so expect her along with Anthony Davidson on the Sky Pad from the Sky studios.

International Motor Sport: why it desperately needs to return to terrestrial television

Next weekend, the 2012 GP2 Series season comes to a conclusion in Singapore, with Davide Valsecchi and Luiz Razia aiming to win the championship. The series runs alongside the GP3 Series as Formula 1’s support package during race weekends, that particular championship concluding with a fantastic series finale last Sunday as Mitch Evans clinched the championship in the final laps.

While both championships have, for the most part, provided fantastic racing this season, there is a sad reality here in the UK. The reality is, that despite having three British drivers in GP2 and a further three drivers in GP3, the viewing figures on Sky Sports F1 have been embarrassingly low. Practice and Qualifying figures, understandably, are very low because I would not expect casual fans to watch that, but the race figures have been nothing to shout about. Here are the race figures that I have to hand for the season so far:

Bahrain
– 21/04/12 – GP2 Race 1: 56,000 (0.58%) average from 13:40 to 15:05; peak: 91,000 (0.98%) at 13:40
– 22/04/12 – GP2 Race 2: 46,000 (0.57%) average from 08:45 to 09:50; peak: 68,000 (0.86%) at 09:05

Spain
– 12/05/12 – GP2 Race 1: 62,000 (0.74%) average from 14:35 to 16:00; peak: 106,000 (1.30%) at 14:35
– 12/05/12 – GP3 Race 1: 42,000 (0.39%) average from 16:15 to 17:10; peak: 57,000 (0.57%) at 16:20
– 13/05/12 – GP3 Race 2: 32,000 (0.53%) average from 08:20 to 09:15; peak: 51,000 (0.84%) at 08:40
– 13/05/12 – GP2 Race 2: 35,000 (0.45%) average from 09:30 to 10:35; peak: 46,000 (0.59%) at 09:45

Monaco – all support race figures under 55,000

Europe – all support race figures under 42,000

Britain
– 08/07/12 – GP2 Race 2: 54,000 average from 09:35 to 10:40
– all other figures under 54,000

Germany
– 21/07/12 – GP2 Race 1: 100,000 average from 14:35 to 16:00
– all other figures under 72,000

Hungary – all support race figures under 24,000

Belgium
– 01/09/12 – GP2 Race 1: 29,000 average from 14:35 to 16:00

Only once this season has the GP2 Series hit 100,000 viewers. When you consider that Formula 1 regularly attracts audiences of over 4 million viewers, surely it is not right that the series’ one tier down attracts only 2.5 percent of the Formula 1 viewership?

If you look at any other sport, the gap between two tiers is not as large as that, where one attracts 4 million viewers, and the others only attract 100,000 viewers. The first problem has to be the lack of promotion given to it by Sky Sports. Throughout the months of promotion it gave to Formula 1, the only promotion they gave to GP2 and GP3 was a thirty second trailer to put on their website before the start of the season. No on-air trailers with dates and times to alert people, nothing of that sort has aired once this season on any Sky Sports channel promoting GP2. And I think that’s pretty poor myself. I have only ever seen GP2 and GP3 mentioned on Sky Sports News once, and that was when Conor Daly had his horrific accident at Monaco. They’ve never had a brief summary of the results with one or two clips summarising events and a quick interview with the winner, after all I lose count of how many times goals from the second and third tiers of English football are replayed constantly on Sky Sports News.

The fact here is that GP2 and GP3 deserve to have viewing figures so much higher than what they currently are getting and it is a sad indictment that not many people will be watching the GP2 Series conclude next weekend. Had James Calado had a good weekend in Italy, he would have been in the championship name, but how many people know of the name “James Calado”? Not many. Someone on another blog post of mine said “James who? Max who? Oh, I’m sorry. You can only see them at work behind a paywall. Disgraceful.” It is hard to disagree with him.

But is it all Sky Sports’ fault that GP2 and GP3 are doing badly? Some of it is, I’ve outlined promotion issues above. In my opinion though, no it isn’t. In fact, I would argue that the BBC have some proportion of blame here as well. Let us go back to 2007. ITV were screening International Motor Sport, which summarised the events of GP2 (and before that Formula 3000), with commentary from James Allen (previously Simon Taylor). From 1997 to 2007, ITV had that commitment to screening a half an hour highlights show on ITV1 on Saturday afternoons irrespective of viewing figures, the will to screen it always existed so viewers recognised future talent. It is where I watched on occasions Lewis Hamilton’s GP2 races in 2006 alongside Eurosport’s live coverage. Whilst the ITV1 ratings may have been low for the slot, they were multiple times higher than the 100,000 viewers that the live races attract at their peak on Sky Sports F1. In 2008, the coverage extended so that races were covered live on ITV4 with Charlie Webster presenting, which re-affirmed their commitment to showing GP2. It turned out to be their last year covering Formula 1 and GP2 as they gave up the rights to concentrate on the UEFA Champions League.

From 2009, Formula 1 coverage moved to the BBC. Whilst Formula 1 coverage got better on the BBC, what happened with the GP2 Series? The terrestrial commitment stopped. The BBC passed on showing the GP2 Series in any form, and instead Setanta Sports were left to pick up the live rights. As it turns out, that only lasted for half a year, Setanta went bust, and the live rights reverted to Eurosport, until Sky Sports won the F1 rights, taking with it GP2 and GP3. My point here is that had BBC decided “you know what, we will screen highlights in some form”, the conclusion may well be very different. It may not have been a ratings hit, it may have been under their slot average, but it would show their commitment to future Formula 1 stars. Place it neatly in the schedules, maybe directly after F1 Qualifying at 14:30. Unfortunately, for whatever reason, they did not take GP2 up.

I’ll finish this piece by linking to a video. It is an interview Steve Rider did at this year’s AUTOSPORT International show.


I know that the GP2 Series is worldwide rather than British based, but in my opinion, the point still remains. It is in GP2 and GP3 where the first glimpses of future world champions can be seen, where the next Schumacher, Raikkonen and Alonso can be found.

And how much coverage can terrestrial television viewers see? Nothing. And that, for me, is sad.

Sky Sports F1 – Top 10 ratings (week ending 2nd September, 2012)

From BARB:

1 – 366k – Live Belgian Grand Prix (Sunday, 11:00)
2 – 277k – Live Belgian Grand Prix: Qualifying (Saturday, 12:00)
3 – 105k – Live Belgian Grand Prix: Practice 3 (Saturday, 09:45)
4 – 58k – Live Belgian Grand Prix: Practice 1 (Friday, 08:45)
5 – 55k – Live Belgian Grand Prix: Practice 2 (Friday, 12:45)
6 – 46k – Porsche Supercup: Europe (Saturday, 11:15)
7 – 35k – Belgian Grand Prix Highlights (Sunday, 19:00)
8 – 30k – Belgian Grand Prix Qualifying Replay (Saturday, 17:34)
9 – 29k – Live Belgian GP2 Feature Race (Saturday, 14:35)
10 – 28k – F1 Legends (Saturday, 11:30)

The first thing here is that the Sky Sports F1 channel reached only 1.98 million people for the Belgian Grand Prix week, which is the lowest reach ever for the channel during a race week. But that, for me, does not mean we can just ignore the above figures.

The highlights programme, that essentially forced the IndyCar Series onto the Red Button, whichever way you look at it, is poor. A programme that had 35,000 viewers forced the IndyCars onto the Red Button? That is just depressing. Sky don’t have enough faith in it to think it can get more than 35,000 viewers? Given that the title could have been decided in Sonoma, and with a bit of promotion during the F1 programme (maybe adverts during the breaks), it would have easily surpassed 35,000 viewers, in my opinion.

The GP2 figure is embarrassing, I can’t say it more bluntly than that. As the other GP2 and GP3 live programmes are outside the top ten, it means they had under 28,000 viewers. Which, is again embarrassing. Even their live The F1 Show on Friday evening in Spa had under 28,000 viewers. I know people criticise Sky’s Formula 1 coverage, but The F1 Show deserves a lot more than 28,000 viewers! Those two figures are just sad. I’m going to put up a blog about GP2 at some point in the next week before Singapore, because given that it is the title decider, I hope Sky dedicate more air-time to GP2. Will they? I doubt it. Although I don’t have figures to hand, Eurosport probably had around the same for GP2, while in 2008 I believe GP2 had just under 100,000 viewers on ITV4.