For the penultimate time, the calendar prediction post returns as we look at how the 2017 Formula One season may shape up for Sky Sports F1 and Channel 4. As regular readers will be aware, this yearly post is nearing its final destination as from 2019, Formula 1 will air exclusively live on Sky Sports.
2017 will mark Sky’s sixth year of covering Formula 1. The 2017 calendar features no German Grand Prix. So, no incumbent champion and no German round. It is tradition for The F1 Broadcasting Blog each year to predict the pick order with some success!
The calendar is confirmed as follows:

The main change is that China and Bahrain swap places, the rest of the calendar remains remarkedly stable, but as we’re about to find out some have changed dates slightly. The remainder of the calendar stays the same, I suspect 2018 may see a bigger shake up assuming Liberty Media’s takeover of the Formula One Group is successful.
The pick process goes as follows:
– Channel 4 pick three races (pick 1, 2 and 3)
– Sky pick three races (pick 4, 5 and 6)
– Channel 4 pick one race (pick 7)
– Sky pick one race (pick 8)
This continues until every race has been picked. There are 20 races on the calendar, so Channel 4 will screen ten races live with Sky screening ten races exclusively live. If a race is dropped from the calendar, the picks do not change retrospectively. Germany was dropped from the 2015 calendar after BBC’s and Sky’s plans were publicly confirmed, but the picks stayed the same, meaning BBC were able to broadcast three races in a row live.
In terms of obstacles for Channel 4 next year, there are none. No Paralympics to worry about, and horse racing is moving to ITV. However, there are other motor sport related events that may influence the pick order, such as MotoGP and Formula E. Whilst small in terms of viewing figures compared with Formula 1, both events are big enough to reduce Formula 1’s numbers slightly. When I did this post for 2016, I managed to get 19 out of the 21 picks right, only Hungary and Japan were incorrect! It would be pretty good if I managed to go the full distance this year, but I’m not expecting miracles.
Channel 4 pick Britain, Abu Dhabi and Canada (picks 1 to 3). Britain and Abu Dhabi are expected, if not mandatory picks. Britain, being the home race, and Abu Dhabi remaining the final race on the calendar. In the provisional schedule, Britain was scheduled for July 9th. Unfortunately, that changed to July 16th meaning another clash with the Wimbledon final. Alongside that, if the other motor racing schedules don’t change, it clashes with the German MotoGP and falls on the same weekend as the New York ePrix. Terrible scheduling, really. After that, it is a choice between Canada, USA, Mexico and Brazil. Because Sky cannot broadcast three races in a row exclusively live, Channel 4 are guaranteed one of USA, Mexico or Brazil live anyway. So, common sense says to go for Canada, which is not up against any sporting competition and therefore should rate well live on free-to-air television.
Moving on, I think we will see Sky pick USA, Monaco and Australia (picks 4 to 6). This may look odd at first sight, with no Brazil or Mexico. But, as referenced above, Sky are guaranteed either Brazil or Mexico as Channel 4 of the ‘three races or more’ rule. There’s no need to waste a pick on either of those two races at this stage in the game. Monaco and Australia are standard picks, Monaco being a blue ribbon race whilst Australia is the season opener and perhaps holds slightly more value being a week later this year compared with last. We could see Sky pick Bahrain instead of Monaco because of the favourable timeslot, but history in 2015 and 2016 suggests this is unlikely. One impact of Sky airing Monaco live means that Channel 4’s highlights would be up against the FA Cup final.
As of yet, no one has anything automatically, but Channel 4 picking Mexico (pick 7) means that Sky automatically get Brazil (pick 20). No surprises here. Mexico rated really well for Channel 4, so I fully expect them to pick Mexico again. With the latter stages of the calendar sorted, I’ve brought some tactical voting into the equation. Earlier, I mentioned that Sky has USA. Sky picking Singapore (pick 8) comes into play later as it increases the chances of Channel 4 airing both Japan and Malaysia live. Clearly airing Japan live would be unfavourable for the commercial broadcaster as the advertising around the race would sell at a lower price. The best time slot left is Bahrain, meaning that Channel 4 pick Bahrain (pick 9).
We are left in this position:
March 27th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky (pick 6)
April 9th – China (Shanghai)
April 16th – Bahrain (Sakhir) – Channel 4 (pick 9)
April 30th – Russia (Sochi)
May 14th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 28th – Monaco (Monaco) – Sky (pick 5)
June 11th – Canada (Montreal) – Channel 4 (pick 3)
June 25th – Europe (Baku)
July 9th – Austria (Red Bull Ring)
July 16th – Britain (Silverstone) – Channel 4 (pick 1)
July 30th – Hungary (Budapest)
August 27th – Belgium (Spa)
September 3rd – Italy (Monza)
September 17th – Singapore (Marina Bay) – Sky (pick 8)
October 1st – Malaysia (Sepang)
October 8th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 22nd – USA (Circuit of the Americas) – Sky (pick 4)
October 29th – Mexico (Mexico City) – Channel 4 (pick 7)
November 12th – Brazil (Interlagos) – Sky (pick 20 – automatic)
November 26th – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – Channel 4 (pick 2)
It is the next move though which starts a major domino effect. With no Premier League end of season clash, I can see Sky picking Spain (pick 10). This means Channel 4 automatically get Russia (pick 19) and Sky automtically get China (pick 18). On balance, that probably works out better for Channel 4 as Russia will bring in higher numbers than China, but it does mean that Sky will air the first two races exclusively live. Between Canada and Britain, we have Europe and Austria. The way the picks have worked out so far means that Sky in theory could air both races exclusively. But, I think it would be somewhat foolish for Channel 4 to allow that to happen. In fact, I’d argue that the races immediately before the Summer break should be snapped up earlier than Italy and Belgium simply because they rate higher. Italy and Belgium are great in terms of length, but the numbers do not stack up.
Furthermore, Channel 4 probably do not want to air Baku. 2016 was its first running, which is fair enough, but it wasn’t the most exciting of races, so has less appeal. With that in mind, Channel 4 pick Austria (pick 11). This means that Sky automatically get Europe (pick 16) and Hungary (pick 14). Hungary tends to rate well as either highlights or live, so I don’t think this is a major loss for Channel 4.
The schedule therefore looks like this:
March 27th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky (pick 6)
April 9th – China (Shanghai) – Sky (pick 18 – automatic)
April 16th – Bahrain (Sakhir) – Channel 4 (pick 9)
April 30th – Russia (Sochi) – Channel 4 (pick 19 – automatic)
May 14th – Spain (Barcelona) – Sky (pick 10)
May 28th – Monaco (Monaco) – Sky (pick 5)
June 11th – Canada (Montreal) – Channel 4 (pick 3)
June 25th – Europe (Baku) – Sky (pick 16 – automatic)
July 9th – Austria (Red Bull Ring) – Channel 4 (pick 11)
July 16th – Britain (Silverstone) – Channel 4 (pick 1)
July 30th – Hungary (Budapest) – Sky (pick 14 – automatic)
August 27th – Belgium (Spa)
September 3rd – Italy (Monza)
September 17th – Singapore (Marina Bay) – Sky (pick 8)
October 1st – Malaysia (Sepang)
October 8th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 22nd – USA (Circuit of the Americas) – Sky (pick 4)
October 29th – Mexico (Mexico City) – Channel 4 (pick 7)
November 12th – Brazil (Interlagos) – Sky (pick 20 – automatic)
November 26th – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – Channel 4 (pick 2)
With four races left of the bunch, I think we will see Sky picking Italy (pick 12) as Belgian Grand Prix clashes with the British MotoGP, which may dent that audience slightly. This means that Channel 4 automatically get Belgium (pick 17) and Malaysia (pick 15). With only one race left, Channel 4 are left with Japan (pick 13).
Which leaves us with this final calendar:
March 27th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky (pick 6)
April 9th – China (Shanghai) – Sky (pick 18 – automatic)
April 16th – Bahrain (Sakhir) – Channel 4 (pick 9)
April 30th – Russia (Sochi) – Channel 4 (pick 19 – automatic)
May 14th – Spain (Barcelona) – Sky (pick 10)
May 28th – Monaco (Monaco) – Sky (pick 5)
June 11th – Canada (Montreal) – Channel 4 (pick 3)
June 25th – Europe (Baku) – Sky (pick 16 – automatic)
July 9th – Austria (Red Bull Ring) – Channel 4 (pick 11)
July 16th – Britain (Silverstone) – Channel 4 (pick 1)
July 30th – Hungary (Budapest) – Sky (pick 14 – automatic)
August 27th – Belgium (Spa) – Channel 4 (pick 17 – automatic)
September 3rd – Italy (Monza) – Sky (pick 12)
September 17th – Singapore (Marina Bay) – Sky (pick 8)
October 1st – Malaysia (Sepang) – Channel 4 (pick 15 – automatic)
October 8th – Japan (Suzuka) – Channel 4 (pick 13)
October 22nd – USA (Circuit of the Americas) – Sky (pick 4)
October 29th – Mexico (Mexico City) – Channel 4 (pick 7)
November 12th – Brazil (Interlagos) – Sky (pick 20 – automatic)
November 26th – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – Channel 4 (pick 2)
If there are any calendar changes, I will update this post as and when, otherwise we should find out the confirmed Channel 4 and Sky F1 picks close to Christmas or in early 2017.
Updated on December 3rd, 2016. My original post had to be heavily re-edited otherwise Sky would have ended up with four exclusive live races in a row. The actual races picked by each side are identical, apart from Belgium which switches from Sky to Channel 4.