Analysis: “Sky silences critics and wins over grid”

Yesterday, The Times newspaper published an article, which also appeared in their newspaper, focussing on Sky’s Formula 1 coverage and how they had “won over the paddock”. Instead of just blogging and regurgitating about the article, I thought I would dive deeper inside, because there appears to be a few inaccuracies. The article, written by Kevin Eason, notes that Barney Francis, the managing director of Sky Sports, is in Austin this weekend. Although not mentioned, it is assumed that this is linked to why James Murdoch was seen in Abu Dhabi a fortnight ago, even if none of the mainstream Formula 1 media picked up that particular story.

The first Francis quote suggests that Sky Sports could replace Formula One Management as producers’ of the World Feed, although one suspects that Eason asked the question hoping to run the story with the answer. Francis says “Would we take it on and do it? We would challenge ourselves to do any sports production. We are well tuned, we have good individuals at the top and farther down the chain. It is a hypothetical question and would need FOM [Ecclestone’s F1 business] to suggest they don’t want to do it any longer.” It is an interesting thought actually, and one that I would be quite interested in seeing to see how Sky Sports revolutionise Formula 1 coverage around the world. At the best of the times, some of the Formula One Management angles can be unimaginative and does not capture the speed that well at times in my opinion. Whilst they do a very good job, no doubt about it, I think Sky Sports could step things up a gear, say if Formula One Management handed over the British Grand Prix World Feed reigns to them. Let us not forget that it was Sky Sports that produced this five-minute trailer at the last few Grand Prix’s last year to promote their new channel which beautifully shows the raw speed, something which the FOM shots do not always do. Personally, I rate Sky Sports’ coverage of events (ie the events during the 90 minutes of a football game/cricket match) top notch.

Moving on, Francis’ says “We would love to do it – 3D would look sensational for Formula One. It will be on the agenda for the conversation we have at the end of the season with FOM. But there has to be a will and there has to be a market, and right now other markets more economically challenged than the UK have put it on hold.” My judgement may cloud me here, but I have zero interest in 3D. Views vary wildly on this, but my opinion is that 3D television is a waste of money and resources when those two things would be better focussed elsewhere. 3D also is not very popular over here and looking at the television ratings appears to still be niche.

A third quote of Francis’ appears to be riddled with inaccuracies and spin doctoring. Francis, talking about the television ratings goes on to say “We know two things: demographically, it is a younger set on Sky than the BBC. We also know that in households where viewers have a choice – Sky and the BBC – and we are simulcasting, we are getting 58 percent of that audience. There are more people watching Formula One than ever before, and that is certainly the case.” The demographics point I don’t quite understand, is that a good thing? I am not quite sure. Does it matter? The fact that Francis singles it out suggests that he considers it significant, but considering their audience base is low as it is, I don’t consider it significant. Let us take the two examples below, on the basis that “demographically, it is a younger set on Sky than the BBC”

– BBC One peaks with 5 million viewers. It skews with 20 percent in the 16-34 age bracket.
– Sky Sports F1 peaks with 1 million viewers. It skews with 25 percent in the 16-34 age bracket.

For example purposes, we will use that. Both seem fairly realistic when you consider that ITV1’s coverage of the UEFA Champions League coverage on Wednesday 7th November had a 21 percent skew in that demographic (836k out of 4.04 million total viewers). Using those numbers above, that means 1 million viewers in that demographic are watching on BBC One, with 250k watching on Sky Sports F1. For me, I really do not see why that is anything to point out. BBC One brings in more casual viewers, therefore it has an older skew. Even so, their programme still brings in more 16-34 viewers than Sky Sports F1. If the audience gap between the two was closer, then yes that would be worth pointing out, but when Sky Sports F1 has had low audiences this season comparatively speaking, I don’t particularly see it as something worth mentioning.

Working on a 800k million peak figure [excluding Virgin Media, see below for why], the “58% percent of that audience” thing is interesting. Which means that about 579k are watching BBC One, but could watch Sky Sports F1. That total is 1.38 million viewers. So 1.38 million viewers in the total amount of people with either the Sky Sports package or Sky HD package on the Sky platform that watch Formula 1. I knocked off Virgin Media at the start by deducting 0.2 million from the Sky Sports F1 peak figure. The Sky corporate document shows that 4.47 million people subscribe to Sky HD. This report from The Independent says that 5 million people subscribe to Sky Sports. Whilst you cannot simply add them together, because you get a lot of people who fall into both categories, it is a fair assumption to say the number is around 6 to 7 million people. So why do less than a third of the people that have access to Sky Sports F1 choose to watch a race then? Surely that figure would be higher had Sky brought more people to the sport, as they appear to be claiming.

The idea that “more people are watching Formula One than ever before” is quite frankly, wrong. The viewing figures do not lie. Singapore: down, Japan: down, Korea: down, India: down. Abu Dhabi reversed the worrying trend, thankfully. I ran some analysis in the Summer break and concluded that viewing figures were at their lowest since 2008. If Sky are working on reach figures, which is possible, then I would be wondering why is the reach so high and the averages low? Why are those people that tune in for only three minutes not tuning in for longer? That is the question they need to ask.

Outside of the quotes, there are some further inaccuracies, such as the total amount of the contract. The article states that Sky Sports are paying £25 million for Formula 1, with BBC paying £7 million per year until 2018. A similar article in June said that same amount for Sky, but double for BBC. As I noted in that blog post, BBC are believed to be paying between £15 million and £20 million with Sky paying £40 million. One thing I did not put in that post was that we learnt that from what Mark Thompson (former BBC Director General) said at the Culture, Sports and Media Select Committee meeting last December. I quote: “The effect will be to save the BBC well over £150 million between now and the end of the contract”. If it was £7 million per year the contract, then the saving would be £231 million over seven years. ‘Well over’ £150 million can be defined in several ways, I interpret it as between £150 million and £175 million. Also, I would be extremely surprised if Bernie Ecclestone accepted losing £8 million a year, which is £56 million over 7 years.

Finally, the article notes that the Sky team have won over the grid. Is that because they think the product is good, or because the teams are getting more money as a result? I say that, because the teams did nothing at all for the fans last Summer. As always, it was about the money. FOTA did not step in, the teams did not care, Martin Whitmarsh pretended to care and now believes the deal was good for Formula 1. Apparently fans are also accepting the move. I still see race after race on Twitter fans still wishing that the coverage was on BBC. If anything, the article in yesterday’s The Times smacks of poor journalism and a back handed ‘high five’ from one side of News Corporation to the other. Better journalism would be to ask how to make the product Sky put out better for 2013, how to entice more fans into watching for 2013, how to make Sky Sports F1 better outside of race weekends for 2013. That is what people really want to know. I guess, though, that was too much to ask.

Mark Pougatch emerges as contender for BBC F1 presenter position

The article in The Times today by Kevin Eason contains a lot of information and details which I shall cover in a blog post probably tomorrow as to the validity of those details. One thing I do spot though is that in the bullet points alongside the article is that Mark Pougatch is noted as a contender for the BBC F1 presenter role to replace Jake Humphrey.

It is the first time I have seen Pougatch linked to the role, so I thought it was worth creating a blog as I have not previously mentioned him. Pougatch, as the article mentions is an experienced broadcaster and veteran, having presented several sports strands including 5 Live Sport on the radio, Football Focus and ITV4’s coverage of the African Cup of Nations.

The article also notes Lee McKenzie as expected, as well as Chris Evans, although the latter appeared to pull out of the running last weekend. In any case, Pougatch appears to be a serious contender to replace Humphrey.

The Twitter outlook

This weekend Formula 1 returns to North America for the United States Grand Prix to be held in Austin, Texas. But for the moment, here is the weekly Twitter update.

Drivers – The Top 10
01 – 1,245,171 – Fernando Alonso (Ferrari)
02 – 1,233,729 – Jenson Button (McLaren)
03 – 1,205,496 – Lewis Hamilton (McLaren)
04 – 517,940 – Bruno Senna (Williams)
05 – 481,473 – Mark Webber (Red Bull)
06 – 336,550 – Sergio Perez (Sauber)
07 – 296,732 – Pastor Maldonaldo (Williams)
08 – 216,984 – Nico Rosberg (Mercedes)
09 – 205,715 – Felipe Massa (Ferrari)
10 – 194,531 – Pedro de la Rosa (HRT)

Drivers – Biggest Increases
01 – 17,104 – Fernando Alonso
02 – 15,706 – Lewis Hamilton
03 – 10,511 – Jenson Button
04 – 4,668 – Mark Webber
05 – 4,463 – Sergio Perez

Drivers – Smallest Increases
01 – 439 – Charles Pic
02 – 498 – Timo Glock
03 – 575 – Jean-Eric Vergne
04 – 728 – Daniel Ricciardo
05 – 965 – Vitaly Petrov

All fairly status quo in the drivers’ table as Alonso, Hamilton and Button continue to pull away from the other drivers’ at a significant rate.

Teams – The Top 10
01 – 371,084 – Ferrari
02 – 257,501 – McLaren
03 – 185,459 – Red Bull
04 – 162,705 – Mercedes
05 – 154,826 – Lotus
06 – 91,857 – Caterham
07 – 89,458 – Marussia
08 – 89,058 – Force India
09 – 88,669 – Sauber
10 – 79,477 – Williams

Teams – Biggest Increases
01 – 3,460 – Ferrari
02 – 3,391 – Red Bull
03 – 2,772 – Lotus

Teams – Smallest Increases
01 – 301 – Williams
02 – 490 – Caterham
03 – 650 – Toro Rosso

Kimi Raikkonen’s win for Lotus at Abu Dhabi keeps them in the top three, whilst Williams record the lowest increase of the week.

Driver and Team statistics as of Monday 12th November 2012.

Sky Sports F1 – Top 10 ratings (week ending 4th November, 2012)

From BARB:

1 – 541k – Live Abu Dhabi Grand Prix (Sunday, 11:30)
2 – 315k – Live Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Qualifying (Saturday, 12:00)
3 – 117k – Live Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Practice 3 (Saturday, 09:45)
4 – 88k – Live Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Practice 1 (Friday, 08:45)
5 – 76k – Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Qualifying Replay (Saturday, 15:45)
6 – 67k – Live Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Practice 2 (Friday, 12:45)
7 – 66k – Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: Qualifying Replay (Sunday, 08:45)
8 – 46k – Britain’s Next F1 Star (Sunday, 16:17)
9 – 45k – Inside Track: Sebastian Vettel (Saturday, 11:45)
10 – 40k – Legends (Saturday, 11:15)

A good set of ratings here considering it was a BBC live weekend. The live race day programmes compares favourably to other rounds where BBC are also live:

– Spain: 523k
– Monaco: 565k
– Europe: 531k
– Singapore: 475k

Furthermore, Britain’s Next F1 Star makes its first appearance in the top 10, interestingly for its Sunday repeat and not the Thursday première airing, which shows that the Sunday post-race slot is more attractive than a stable Thursday slot at 19:30 as the Formula 1 audience is already there.

The Inside Track show with Sebastian Vettel was an extended interview he did with Ted Kravitz recorded during the Indian Grand Prix weekend. Like above, this wasn’t a première airing, although it was worth a watch as it was the raw version rather than a trimmed down version. It was nice seeing Vettel mess around a bit in the extended version, which did not make the cut down version. Of course, only those that were lucky enough to spot the late addition to the schedule were able to watch it.

No F1 Show in the top ten either, I do wonder whether they will change the Friday scheduling of that next year because the editions on race weekend seem to vary wildly ratings wise.

F1 2012 DVD season review to be released in 2013

Bad news for those including myself who were hoping for the 2012 Formula One season review DVD/Blu-Ray to be released before Christmas. Amazon.co.uk have a release date currently of January 7th, 2013, two weeks after Christmas.

Considering the 2011 season review was released on December 26th last year, I’m slightly confused as to why the 2012 date has been pushed back into 2013. Going by last year’s date, I was anticipating a release of Christmas Eve this year, but it appears that won’t happen. The late date may be due to a change of distributors, last year was released by Universal Pictures UK, whereas this year according to Amazon is being distributed by Metrodome Group.

I don’t know how well the DVD sales are worldwide, but I imagine it will sell a lot less than normal with the release date after Christmas.

The DVD as usual will be voiced by Will Buxton and Ben Edwards. Luckily, if you prefer your season reviews in book form, then AUTOCOURSE comes out on December 1st, whilst The Official Formula 1 Season Review is released on December 13th.

Update on January 4th – Bad news for those wanting the Blu-Ray copy, it has been pushed back to January 14th according to Amazon.